[1]刘金全,徐宁,刘达禹.农村金融发展对农业经济增长影响机制的迁移性检验——基于PLSTR模型的实证研究[J].南京农业大学学报(社科版),2016,16(02):134-143.
　LIU Jinquan,XU Ning,LIU Dayu.A Study on the Non-linear Correlative Mechanism of Rural Financial Development and Agricultural Economic Growth:Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Test[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science),2016,16(02):134-143.
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农村金融发展对农业经济增长影响机制的迁移性检验——基于PLSTR模型的实证研究()
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南京农业大学学报（社科版）[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
16
期数:
2016年02期
页码:
134-143
栏目:
农业经济
出版日期:
2016-03-13

文章信息/Info

Title:
A Study on the Non-linear Correlative Mechanism of Rural Financial Development and Agricultural Economic Growth:Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Test
作者:
刘金全;  徐宁;  刘达禹
吉林大学数量经济研究中心/商学院, 吉林 长春 130012
Author(s):
LIU Jinquan;  XU Ning;  LIU Dayu
关键词:
农村金融发展; 农业经济增长; PLSTR模型; 金融相关率
分类号:
F320.6
摘要:
本文利用PLSTR模型实证分析了我国农村金融发展对农业经济增长的影响机制,结果发现:在农村金融发展初期,提高资金利用效率能够有效拉动农业经济增长,但提高农村金融相关率会对农业经济增长产生显著的抑制效应;而当农村金融相关率超过门槛水平后,提高农村金融相关率则能够显著促进农业经济增长,表明二者的作用机制会随着普惠金融的推进而不断演变。因此,政府和财政部门在支农政策选择上要确保有的放矢,清晰判断不同地区农村金融发展的阶段性特征,采取不同的支持策略,进而构建更具包容性的农村金融体系,为"新常态"时期内的宏观经济发掘新的增长点。
Abstract:
This paper uses a PLSTR model to study the influential mechanism between rural financial development and agricultural economic growth. The results show that improving rural financial related rate may restrain agricultural economic growth during the primary stage of rural financial development, but enhancing capital efficiency will cause an adverse effect. And when the financial related rate exceeds its threshold level, improving rural financial related rate can promote agricultural economic growth prominently, which indicates that with the development of inclusive finance, the influential mechanism between them has changed obviously. Therefore, the government and fiscal sector should guarantee the accuracy of their policies and make exact judgments on the character of rural financial development in different regions, using different strategies, and then build a more inclusive rural financial system, and find a new source of macro-economic growth so that it can find a new growth point in the‘New Normality’.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2015-07-22;改回日期:。
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重点项目"我国经济发展新常态的形成机理、趋势性特征及经济政策取向研究"(15AZD&001);吉林大学数量经济学领域创新选题项目"农村金融发展、普惠金融落实与金融稳定性问题研究"(JLUCQE14007)
作者简介:刘金全,男,吉林大学商学院教授,博士生导师。E-mail:jinquan@jlu.edu.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01