[1]易福金,周甜甜,陈晓光.气候变化、农业科研投入与农业全要素生产率[J].南京农业大学学报(社科版),2021,21(04):155-167.
　YI Fujin,ZHOU Tiantian,CHEN Xiaoguang.Climate Change, Agricultural Research Investment and Agricultural Total Factor Productivity[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science),2021,21(04):155-167.
点击复制

气候变化、农业科研投入与农业全要素生产率()
分享到：

南京农业大学学报（社科版）[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
21
期数:
2021年04期
页码:
155-167
栏目:
农业经济
出版日期:
2021-07-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
Climate Change, Agricultural Research Investment and Agricultural Total Factor Productivity
作者:
易福金1;  周甜甜1;  陈晓光2
1. 南京农业大学 经济管理学院, 江苏 南京 210095;
2. 西南财经大学 经济与管理研究院, 四川 成都 611130
Author(s):
YI Fujin1;  ZHOU Tiantian1;  CHEN Xiaoguang2
关键词:
农业全要素生产率; 气候变化; 农业科研投入
Keywords:
Agricultural Total Factor Productivity; Climate Change; Agricultural Research Investment
分类号:
F323;S162
摘要:
本文将气候变化与农业科研投入纳入理论分析框架，在分析气候变化对农业全要素生产率作用基础上，探讨了农业科研投入在气候变化影响农业全要素生产率方面发挥的潜在作用。实证结果表明：全年气温均值对农业全要素生产率有显著的正向作用，而全年降水总量、降水密度及高温、低温对农业全要素生产率有显著的负向影响。这些气候因素对农业全要素生产率的影响在不同区域间呈现出显著的差异。农业科研投入对农业全要素生产率有显著的正向作用，但在应对气候变化影响农业全要素生产率方面，农业科研投入的作用在区域间也同样存在显著的差异。
Abstract:
This paper incorporates climate change and agricultural research investment into the theoretical analysis framework. Based on the analysis of the impact of climate change on agricultural total factor productivity, this paper discusses the direct impact of agricultural research investment on agricultural total factor productivity and the potential role of agricultural research investment in the impact of climate change on agricultural total factor productivity. The empirical results show that the annual average temperature has a significant positive impact on the agricultural total factor productivity, but the annual total precipitation, precipitation density, high temperature and low temperature condition have a significant negative effect on the agricultural total factor productivity. Of course, the impact of these climatic factors on agricultural total factor productivity varies significantly across regions and in seasons. This paper finds that agricultural research investment has a significant positive impact on agricultural total factor productivity, but in terms of the impact of climate change on agricultural total factor productivity, the impact of agricultural research investment also has significant differences between regions.

参考文献/References:

[1] 陈帅,徐晋涛,张海鹏.气候变化对中国粮食生产的影响——基于县级面板数据的实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2016(5):2-15.
[2] Xie W, Huang J K, Wang J X, et al. Climate Change Impacts on China’s Agriculture:The Responses from Market and Trade[J]. China Economic Review, 2020, 62:101256.
[3] Villavicencio X, McCarl B A, Wu X M, et al. Climate Change Influences on Agricultural Research Productivity[J].Climatic Change, 2013,119(3-4):815-824.
[4] Liang X Z, Wu Y, Chambers R G, et al. Determining Climate Effects on US Total Agricultural Productivity[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,2017,114(12):E2285-E2292.
[5] Kunimitsu Y, Kudo R, Lizumi T, et al. Technological Spillover in Japanese Rice Productivity under Long-term Climate Change:Evidence from the Spatial Econometric Model[J]. Paddy and Water Environment, 2016, 14(1):131-144.
[6] Chen S,Gong B. Response and Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change:Evidence from China[J]. Journal of Development Economics, 2020,148.
[7] 尹朝静,李谷成,范丽霞,等.气候变化、科技存量与农业生产率增长[J].中国农村经济,2016(5):16-28.
[8] 白秀广,陈晓楠,霍学喜.气候变化对苹果主产区单产及全要素生产率增长的影响研究[J].农业技术经济,2015(8):98-111.
[9] 全炯振.中国农业全要素生产率增长的实证分析:1978-2007年——基于随机前沿分析(SFA)方法[J].中国农村经济,2009(9):36-47.
[10] 赵文,程杰.中国农业全要素生产率的重新考察——对基础数据的修正和两种方法的比较[J].中国农村经济,2011(10):4-15,35.
[11] 陈卫平.中国农业生产率增长、技术进步与效率变化:1990-2003年[J].中国农村观察,2006(1):18-23,38,80.
[12] 高帆.我国区域农业全要素生产率的演变趋势与影响因素——基于省际面板数据的实证分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2015,32(5):3-19,53.
[13] Andersen M A. Public Investment in US Agricultural R&D and the Economic Benefits[J].Food Policy, 2015,51:38-43.
[14] 徐红,赵金伟.研发投入的绿色技术进步效应——基于城市层面技术进步方向的视角[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2020,30(2):121-128.
[15] 方师乐,史新杰,高叙文.非农就业、农机投资和农机服务利用[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2020,20(1):139-149.
[16] 武宵旭,葛鹏飞,徐璋勇.城镇化与农业全要素生产率提升:异质性与空间效应[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2019,29(5):149-156.
[17] 卓乐,曾福生.农村基础设施对粮食全要素生产率的影响[J].农业技术经济,2018(11):92-101.
[18] Mendelsohn R, Dinar A, Sanghi A. The Effect of Development on the Climate Sensitivity of Agriculture[J].Environment and Development Economics,2001,6(1):85-101.
[19] 蔡榕硕,刘克修,谭红建.气候变化对中国海洋和海岸带的影响、风险与适应对策[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2020,30(9):1-8.
[20] 展进涛,张慧仪,陈超.果农施用农药的效率测度与减少错配的驱动力量——基于中国桃主产县524个种植户的实证分析[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2020,20(6):148-156.
[21] 曹丹丘,宦梅丽.我国农业科技成果转化中存在的问题及对策研究[J].天津农业科学,2016,22(10):145-147.
[22] Ortiz-Bobea A, Knippenberg E, Chambers R G. Growing Climatic Sensitivity of US Agriculture Linked to Technological Change and Regional Specialization[J].Science Advances,2018,4(12).
[23] Yi F J, Feng J A, Wang Y J, et al.Influence of Surface Ozone on Crop Yield of Maize in China[J].Journal of Integrative Agriculture,2020, 19(2):578-589.
[24] Chen X G, Yang L. Temperature and Industrial Output:Firm-level Evidence from China[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,2019,95:257-274.
[25] 王树廷.关于日平均气温稳定通过各级界限温度初终日期的统计方法[J].气象,1982(6):29-30.
[26] 肖小勇,李秋萍.农业生产:科技存量与空间溢出——基于1986-2010年空间面板数据的分析[J].中国经济问题,2013(1):43-50.
[27] Démurger S. Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth:An Explanation for Regional Disparities in China?[J]. Journal of Comparative Economics,2001,29(1):95-117.
[28] Chen Y F, Wu Z G, Zhu T H. Agricultural Policy, Climate Factors and Grain Output:Evidence from Household Survey Data in Rural China[J]. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 2013,12(1):169-183.
[29] 尹朝静,李谷成,高雪.气候因素对水稻单产影响的实证分析——基于湖北农户层面的分层模型[J].自然资源学报,2017,32(8):1433-1444.
[30] 胡瑞法,黄季焜.中国农业科研体系发展与改革:政策评估与建议[J].科学与社会,2011,1(3):34-40,16.

相似文献/References:

[1]周力,孙杰.气候变化与中国连片特困地区资产贫困陷阱[J].南京农业大学学报(社科版),2016,16(05):55.
　ZHOU Li,SUN Jie.Climate Change and Asset-Based Poverty Trap in China Contiguous Destitute Areas[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science),2016,16(04):55.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2020-10-29。
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重点项目"我国农业保险高质量发展研究"（19AZD011）
作者简介:易福金,男,南京农业大学经济管理学院教授,博士生导师;周甜甜,女,南京农业大学经济管理学院硕士生;陈晓光,男,西南财经大学经济与管理研究院教授,博士生导师。
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01