[1]朱长宁,鲁庆尧.乡村旅游发展对农户收入影响的实证研究——基于匹配倍差法[J].南京农业大学学报(社科版),2023,23(03):155-167.
　ZHU Changning,LU Qingyao.An Empirical Study on the Impact of Rural Tourism Development on Peasant Households’ Income: Based on the PSM-DID Method[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science),2023,23(03):155-167.
点击复制

乡村旅游发展对农户收入影响的实证研究——基于匹配倍差法()
分享到：

南京农业大学学报（社科版）[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
23
期数:
2023年03期
页码:
155-167
栏目:
农民问题
出版日期:
2023-06-02

文章信息/Info

Title:
An Empirical Study on the Impact of Rural Tourism Development on Peasant Households’ Income: Based on the PSM-DID Method
作者:
朱长宁1;  鲁庆尧2
1. 金陵科技学院 商学院, 南京 211169;
2. 淮阴师范学院 经济与管理学院, 淮安 223001
Author(s):
ZHU Changning1;  LU Qingyao2
关键词:
乡村旅游; 农户收入; 匹配倍差法
Keywords:
Rural Tourism; Farmers’ Income; PSM-DID Method
分类号:
F590.6
摘要:
基于江苏省盱眙县乡村旅游地区农户2015年和2020年的调查数据,运用DID模型、PSM模型和PSM-DID模型,评估发展乡村旅游对农户收入的影响。实证结果显示:农户参与乡村旅游业对农户家庭总收入、工资性收入和经营性收入均有显著增收效应;参与乡村旅游业的农户的工资性收入增长幅度明显高于其经营性收入,说明大多数农户参与乡村旅游业主要是通过打工获得收入的。户主年龄、户主受教育年限、家庭劳动力人口和家庭资产等变量对农户家庭总收入、工资性收入和经营性收入产生了差异性作用。进一步的异质性分析结果表明,随着从业家庭收入水平的不断提高,参与乡村旅游业带来的收入效应逐渐降低,呈现边际递减效应;参与乡村旅游业对高年龄家庭的总收入及经营性收入有着更大的正向影响,但对其工资性收入产生了负向影响。总体而言,参与乡村旅游业的农户家庭收入质量尤其是收入的结构性和知识性还存在较大的改善空间。最后,依据研究结论和乡村振兴战略目标提出了相关的政策建议。
Abstract:
This paper uses the survey data of peasant households in the rural tourism area of Xuyi County, Jiangsu Province, and uses the matching double-difference method to evaluate the impact of the development of rural tourism on the income of peasant households. The research results show that: based on the data in 2015 and 2020, the three methods of DID model, PSM model and PSM-DID model are used to estimate the results, which show that participating in the rural tourism industry has a significant increasing effect on the total income, wage income and business income of peasant households. The increase in wage income of peasant households participating in rural tourism industry is significantly higher than their business income, indicating that most peasant households who participate in rural tourism industry mainly earn income through part-time work. Variables such as age of the household head, years of education of the household head, household labor force size and household assets have a differential effect on the total household income, wage income and business income of peasant households. Further heterogeneity analysis shows that the income effect of participation in rural tourism decreases as the income level of employed households increases, showing a marginal decreasing effect; participation in rural tourism has a greater positive effect on the total income and business income of households with higher age of household head, but a negative effect on their wage income. In general, there is still much room for improvement in the income quality of peasant households who participate in rural tourism, especially in the structural and knowledge-based income. Finally, relevant policy recommendations are proposed based on the research findings and the objectives of rural revitalization strategy.

参考文献/References:

[1] 李并成.发展乡村旅游在新农村建设中的重要作用——以甘肃省为例[J].甘肃社会科学,2007(2):31-33.
[2] 王金伟,张丽艳,李明龙.国际乡村旅游研究的学术脉络与前沿热点[J].西南民族大学学报(人文社会科学版),2021,42(3):224-231.
[3] 安传艳,李同昇,翟洲燕,等.1992—2016年中国乡村旅游研究特征与趋势——基于CiteSpace知识图谱分析[J].地理科学进展,2018,37(9):1186-1200.
[4] Wanger J. Estimating the Economic Impacts of Tourism[J]. Annals of Tourism Research,1997,24(3):592-608.
[5] English K,Marcouiller D,Cordell H. Tourism Dependence in Rural America:Estimates and Effects[J]. Society and Natural Resources,2000,13(2):185-202.
[6] Deller S C,Lledo V. Amenities and Rural Appalachia Economic Growth[J]. Journal of Agribusiness,2007,36(1):107-132.
[7] Gannon A. Rural Tourism as a Factor in Rural Community Economic Development for Economics in Transition[J].Journal of Sustainable Tourism,1994,2(1/2):51-60.
[8] Pillaya M,Rogersonb M C. Agriculture-tourism Linkages and Pro-poor Impacts:The Accommodation Sector of Urban Coastal Kwa Zulu-Natal,South Africa[J]. Applied Geography,2013,36(1):49-58.
[9] Koutsouris A,Gidarakou I,Grava F,et al. The Phantom of (Agri)Tourism and Agriculture Symbiosis？A Greek Case Study[J].Tourism Management Perspectives,2014,12:94-103.
[10] Deller S. Rural Poverty,Tourism and Spatial Heterogeneity[J].Annals of Tourism Research, 2010,37(1):180-205.
[11] Snieska V,Barkauskiene K,Barkauskas V. The Impact of Economic Factors on the Development of Rural Tourism:Lithuanian Case[J].Procedia-social and Behavioral Sciences,2014,156(2/3):280-285.
[12] Martín Martín José,Salinas Fernández Jose,Rodríguez Martín José,et al. Assessment of the Tourism’s Potential as a Sustainable Development Instrument in Terms of Annual Stability: Application to Spanish Rural Destinations in Process of Consolidation[J].Sustainability,2017,9(10):1692.
[13] 申始占,王鹏飞.乡村旅游助力乡村振兴的逻辑机理、现实困境与突破路径[J].西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版),2022,22(5):72-81.
[14] 高强,鞠可心.要素匹配、资本选择与乡村旅游合作社发展——基于外来资本与村社资源的博弈视角[J].中国农村观察,2022(4):58-76.
[15] Mahadevan R,Amir H,Nugroho A. Regional Impacts of Tourism-led Growth on Poverty and Income Inequality: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis for Indonesia[J].Tourism Economics,2017,23(3):614-631.
[16] 王建喜.乡村旅游开发对当地农民就业的影响研究——以南京江心洲为例[J].广东农业科学,2010,37(12):166-169.
[17] 姚海琴,朋文欢,黄祖辉.家庭型乡村旅游发展对农户收入的影响机制及效果——以浙江、四川和湖南三省为例[J].经济地理,2016,36(11):169-176.
[18] 刘民坤,任莉莉,邓小桂,等.基于准自然实验的乡村旅游效应评估[J].经济地理,2022,42(10):231-239.
[19] 杨启智,向银.乡村旅游对农民收入的贡献研究——基于成都市的实证分析[J].经济问题,2012(9):123-125.
[20] 黄祖辉,宋文豪,成威松,等.休闲农业与乡村旅游发展促进农民增收了吗？——来自准自然实验的证据[J]. 经济地理,2022, 42(5):213-222.
[21] 周荣华,向银,张学兵.基于IPA分析的乡村旅游对农民收入影响的实证研究——以四川省都江堰市为例[J].农村经济,2012(8):39-43.
[22] 程莉,于秋月.乡村旅游发展对农民收入的影响机制——基于中介效应模型[J].福建农林大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2021,24(3):59-67,105.
[23] 余利红.基于匹配倍差法的乡村旅游扶贫农户增收效应[J].资源科学,2019,41(5):955-966.
[24] 杨军.中国乡村旅游驱动力因子及其系统优化研究[J].旅游科学,2006,20(4):7-11.
[25] 龚娜.关于乡村旅游内涵、外延及效益理论的探讨[J].贵州社会科学,2010(5):85-89.
[26] 王晖,田亮.乡村旅游:农村剩余劳动力转移及收入增收的途径[J].农业经济,2014(4):99-100.
[27] Heckman J J,Ichimura H,Todd P E.Matching as an Econometric Evaluation Estimator: Evidence from Evaluating a Job Training Programme[J].Review of Economic Studies,1997,64(4):605-654.
[28] Heckman J J,Ichimura H,Todd P.Matching as an Econometric Evaluation Estimator [J].Review of Economic Studies,1998,65(2):261-294.
[29] Rosenbaum P R,Rubin D B.The Central Role of the Propensity Score in Observational Studies for Causal Effects[J].Biometrika,1983,70(1):41-55.

相似文献/References:

[1]侯晶,应瑞瑶,周力.契约农业能有效提高农户的收入吗?——以肉鸡养殖户为例[J].南京农业大学学报(社科版),2018,18(03):122.
　HOU Jing,YING Ruiyao,ZHOU Li.Does contract farming effectively improve farmers’ income? An empirical research based on quantile regression[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science),2018,18(03):122.
[2]毛慧,周力,应瑞瑶.契约农业能改善农户的要素投入吗？——基于“龙头企业+农户”契约模式分析[J].南京农业大学学报(社科版),2019,19(04):147.
　MAO Hui,ZHOU Li,YING Ruiyao.Does Contract Farming Effectively Improve farmers’ Input?——Analysis Based on “Leading Enterprises+Farmers” Contract Model[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science),2019,19(03):147.
[3]李江一,仇童伟,李涵.农地确权影响农户收入的内在机制检验——基于中国家庭金融调查的面板证据[J].南京农业大学学报(社科版),2021,21(04):103.
　LI Jiangyi,QIU Tongwei,LI Han.Identifying the Mechanism by which Land Titling Affects Farm Households’ Income: Evidence from China Household Finance Survey[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science),2021,21(03):103.
[4]仇叶.乡村旅游的景观制造逻辑与乡村产业发展路径——基于赣南C县梯田景观开发的实证调研[J].南京农业大学学报(社科版),2022,22(02):10.
　QIU Ye.Landscape Manufacturing Logic of Rural Tourism and the Development Path of Rural Industry: Study on the Development of a Terrace Landscape[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science),2022,22(03):10.
[5]耿松涛,张伸阳.乡村振兴视域下乡村旅游高质量发展的理论逻辑与实践路径[J].南京农业大学学报(社科版),2023,23(01):61.
　GENG Songtao,ZHANG Shenyang.Theoretical Logic and Practical Path of High-quality Development of Rural Tourism from the Perspective of Rural Revitalization[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science),2023,23(03):61.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2022-09-07。
基金项目:国家社会科学基金一般项目“乡村振兴战略背景下乡村旅游供应链整合对策研究”(18BGL146)
作者简介:朱长宁,男,金陵科技学院商学院教授,硕士生导师;鲁庆尧,男,淮阴师范学院经济与管理学院副教授,硕士生导师。
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01